Proof
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Latest frozen release
handoff-v6.36-20261029
commit 577c34f3ae43 · +6 files · verified 2026-10-29All data we hold is cleared for sharing with Zeno and training. Only leakage, missing outcomes and Zeno's own test set are kept out. All 6 files re-downloaded from Hugging Face and matched by sha256.
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Reading release files…
What is in the record · measured 2026-10-29
Headline numbers
- 13.5M
- forecasts
- 19,019
- markets with full price history
- 808
- forecasters in 82 families
- 12
- domains
- 431k
- weather training cases
- 38
- data defects published
ForecastBench panels: 13,523,509 rows, 6,311,674 with real answers
Of 19,030 verified temperature markets; 11 have no Polymarket history, 0 failed (v6.11)
756 AI models, 38 human groups, 6 baselines, 8 aggregates
Geopolitics & world events, Single-run weather, Ensemble weather, Prediction markets, Market traders, Crypto, Central-bank surveys, Economics, Energy, Health, Space weather, Hurricanes
205,746 single-run + 225,235 ensemble, 59 sites, 18 weeks
Two audits on 2026-10-20: all 11 critical fixed (invented or early clocks, answer-conditioned forecasts, stalled collectors); 12 lower-severity still open. Affected rows are excluded or flagged, never silently kept.
Held out of training
Collected and public, but not used until the gate below clears.
- notflat.world · heldWaiting on the producer: no complete snapshot yet (totals blank, their counting job times out). Nothing reaches training until one full snapshot passes our checks.Snapshot check list
- Rivers (USGS) · heldHeld until hydrology validation passes on independent 7-day event blocks; 3–7 day forecast ranges are also far too narrow.Daily ingest feed