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What is recorded, comparable, scored, and available to train from.

evidence-20260919195500 · 2026-09-19 19:55 UTC

temperature 2m (urban)

4,985 shared cases · 10 days · reference cma grapes global

668744543d49

temperature 2m (urban) · +6 h · 2026-09-25 to 2026-10-25 · 4,985 shared cases across 10 days and 50 sites. Filled points are our own models. Whiskers show block uncertainty. Teal outlines improve the equal-weight ensemble; clay outlines do not. Select a point for its evidence.

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Error: 0.929 °C
vs reference: -0.493 ± 0.038
Coverage: 100.0%
Abstention: 0.0%
Support: 4,985 cases · 10 days · 50 sites
Adds to the ensemble: yes — -0.019 °C against 0.905 °C without it

One case at this model’s median error: 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC at chicago — it said 11.70 °C, the reading was 11.00 °C (off by 0.70 °C; the reference was off by 0.90 °C).