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evidence-20260919195500 · 2026-09-19 19:55 UTC

temperature 2m (urban)

498 shared cases · 24 days · reference cma grapes global

d8f491a7ce9a

temperature 2m (urban) · +24 h · 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-24 · 498 shared cases across 24 days and 7 sites. Filled points are our own models. Whiskers show block uncertainty. Teal outlines improve the equal-weight ensemble; clay outlines do not. Select a point for its evidence.

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Error: 1.013 °C
vs reference: -0.429 ± 0.091
Coverage: 93.7%
Abstention: 0.0%
Support: 498 cases · 24 days · 7 sites
Adds to the ensemble: yes — -0.025 °C against 0.906 °C without it

One case at this model’s median error: 2026-09-07 11:00 UTC at sydney — it said 14.90 °C, the reading was 15.60 °C (off by 0.70 °C; the reference was off by 1.20 °C).