{ "ok": true, "contract": "offdiagonal-zeno30-handoff/1.0.0", "generated_at": "2026-10-04T19:45:57.978Z", "purpose": "The single entry point Zeno Divergent and the Zeno30 team should share. It links the frozen corpus, live prospective feed, Jev evidence, classifiers, indicators, domains, contracts and completion evidence.", "start_here": { "training_catalogue": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/training-catalogue", "step_4000_evidence": "https://offdiagonal.space/zeno-evidence", "first": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/v030-report", "second": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/readiness-v030", "full_machine_catalogue": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/catalogue", "this_handoff": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/zeno30" }, "authentication": { "accepted": [ "Authorization: Bearer ", "X-API-Key: ", "X-Offdiagonal-Key: " ], "self_check": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/whoami", "rule": "Send the partner key only to Offdiagonal endpoints. Never send it to signed file-download URLs." }, "frozen_package": { "bundle_id": "hb-20260927-5324096", "status": "building", "deadline_at": "2026-09-27T12:41:24.918+00:00", "revision_ceiling": 5324096, "content_hash": "42c9f070a4d7a67ed54a753b243c9a2f0b32198d52e9c9ca12ef1e2e7f7e4ee0", "files_written": 3258, "rows_written": 19906717, "views_complete": 66, "views_started": 67, "error": null, "ready": false, "rule": "Do not call a building package frozen. Begin immutable training only when status=frozen and the integrity response says valid=true.", "integrity": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/full/bundle?surface=integrity&bundle_id=hb-20260927-5324096", "parts": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/full/bundle?surface=parts&bundle_id=hb-20260927-5324096&limit=200", "eligibility": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/full/eligibility?bundle_id=hb-20260927-5324096", "download": [ "Fetch the paged parts response with the partner key.", "Download each returned signed URL without the partner key, with concurrency 4.", "Verify byte_size, row_count and SHA-256 before accepting a part.", "Resume with nextAfter; renew only expired links with surface=resign.", "Treat the admission report—not package existence alone—as the final experiment gate." ] }, "v030_protocol": { "admission_report": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/v030-report", "domain_readiness": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/readiness-v030", "census_delivery_changes_and_jev_audit": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/context-v030", "interval_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/interval-exceedance?variant=with_history&split=train", "experience": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/experience?query=largest-misses&limit=50", "joint_misses": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/joint-misses", "rules": [ "Compute the final admission report over the cases actually imported by Zeno.", "Use only evidence available before each decision time; missing clocks fail closed.", "Keep train, development and confirmation exposure separate and map canonical outcome identities before freezing splits.", "Compare A/B/C on identical admitted cases. Joint-miss lift is descriptive evidence, not a validated predictive feature.", "Keep incompatible domains, targets, horizons, revisions and interval constructions separate.", "Null means missing or unsupported and is never synthetic zero-fill." ] }, "prospective_arena": { "open_forecasts": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/open-forecasts?limit=1000", "submit_and_read": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/arena", "required_submission_fields": [ "case_uid", "zeno_run_id", "p_exceed", "baseline_id", "reference_p_exceed", "baseline_fit_id", "alert_selected" ], "rules": [ "Submit every eligible prediction, not only selected alerts.", "Submit before submission_deadline_at; late warnings are rejected.", "Use baseline_id=submitted/v1 with a versioned baseline_fit_id for fitted baselines.", "Preserve the returned receipt and later settlement." ] }, "inventory": { "corpus_and_provenance": { "catalogue": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/catalogue", "source_inventory": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/source-inventory", "model_catalogue": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/model-catalogue", "reconstruction_contract": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/reconstruction", "consumption_inventory": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/consumption-inventory", "exact_package_manifest": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/full/manifest?bundle_id=hb-20260927-5324096" }, "forecast_outcome_experience": { "records": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/records", "errors": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/errors", "comparison_sets": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/comparison-sets", "outcome_identity": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/outcome-identity", "cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/cases", "model_history": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/model-history", "experience": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/experience", "interval_exceedance": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/interval-exceedance" }, "jev_and_relationship_evidence": { "judgments": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/judgments?as_of=", "training_controls": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/evidence-feed?lane=jev-training&after_id=0&limit=1000", "jev_replay": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/jev-replay?cutoff=", "producer_edges": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/producer-clusters?as_of=&verification=auto_accepted|verified", "pair_verifications": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/pair-verifications?cutoff=&verdict=machine_verified", "relationships": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/relationships", "joint_misses": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/joint-misses?snapshot_id=", "audit": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/context-v030?section=jev-audit", "interpretation": "Jev outputs and document-derived labels are evidence and optional classifiers, not human-verified truth. Unknowns remain unknown; do not backdate later judgments." }, "indicators_and_classifiers": { "row_flags": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/row-flags", "causal_baselines": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/causal-baselines", "uncertainty_references": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/uncertainty-references", "reliability": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/reliability", "reliability_census": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/reliability/census", "survival": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/survival", "evidence_scoreboard": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/evidence-scoreboard", "benchmark_coverage": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/benchmark-coverage", "experiment_coverage": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/experiment-coverage" }, "domains": { "physical_domain_training_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/evidence-feed?lane=training-cases&after_id=0&limit=1000", "weather_training_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/evidence-feed?lane=weather-clocks&after_id=0&limit=1000", "health_flusight_training_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/evidence-feed?lane=health-cases&after_id=0&limit=1000", "health_covid19_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/evidence-feed?lane=health-cases&source_key=hubverse_cdc_covid19&after_id=0&limit=1000", "health_rsv_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/evidence-feed?lane=health-cases&source_key=hubverse_cdc_rsv&after_id=0&limit=1000", "philadelphia_spf_raw_only": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/spf?after_id=0&limit=10000", "weather": "strict-training candidate after Zeno's own admission report; ranges are Offdiagonal-constructed and carry provenance", "macro_ecb": "baseline experiments only where publication clocks are bounded rather than exact", "crypto": "baseline experiments only; current forecasts are internal baselines, not an external forecaster population", "prediction_markets": "exploratory replay; cross-venue identity and provider permissions remain explicit gates", "futureeval": "separate forecasting-bot workstream; interval-failure probabilities are not event forecasts", "readiness": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/contract/readiness-v030", "market_cases": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/market-cases", "crypto_integrity": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/crypto-integrity", "crypto_market_diagnostic": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/crypto-market-diagnostic?limit=25", "futureeval_questions": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/futureeval-questions", "futureeval_scores": "https://offdiagonal.space/api/public/v1/handoff/futureeval-scores" } }, "known_limits": [ "No Arena warning has yet been submitted by Zeno.", "Document-derived Jev labels are a three-way audit signal, not established accuracy.", "Official Metaculus log-based spot peer-score parity is not implemented; brierVsPeerMedian is only a local diagnostic.", "Kalshi and any other permission-gated source remain excluded unless the permission register allows the intended use.", "FutureEval scoring labels and full-history aggregates must never enter pre-decision inputs.", "Philadelphia SPF is raw-download-only until authoritative survey deadlines and first-release outcome vintages are loaded; captured_at is not a substitute.", "COVID-19 and RSV hub cases have repository-observed forecast clocks; train only rows with trainingAdmission.admitted=true after an exact task+revision join. The first observation is a conservative availability upper bound, not a provider-declared issue time." ] }